June 22, 2021

News Cymru

Two sides to every headline

Corona Virus in Greece – Are Government Measures Still Working?

Almost six months has passed since Greece closed its schools but the world knows a lot more about Coronavirus than it did in March.

Namely

1.Mortality Rate Lower

The virus is not as deadly as we first imagined. Something akin to influenza.

A Stanford University study predicts the mortality rate could be around 0.27%

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v3

However this Stanford caused some controversy

Another test in Mumbai India found a mortality rate of only 0.004%

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-53576653

John Hopkins gives mortality rate at around 2-3% for the USA

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/us-map

The Swedish government puts the mortality rate at 0.5-1%.

https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/the-public-health-agency-of-sweden/communicable-disease-control/covid-19/


2.Children Largely Unaffected & Probably Not Infectious

There looks to be no evidence that the virus is transmitted by children

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/18/french-minister-tells-of-risks-of-missing-school-as-more-pupils-return-covid-19

No evidence to show opening schools is connected to rise in cases or that closing schools has an effect on the spread of the virus.

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/07/school-openings-across-globe-suggest-ways-keep-coronavirus-bay-despite-outbreaks

https://www.wired.com/story/some-countries-reopened-schools-what-did-they-learn-about-kids-and-covid/

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-children-do-not-increase-risk-to-adults-they-live-with-new-research-shows-12122573

Transmission location and age https://academic.oup.com/jid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/infdis/jiaa691/5943164


3.Low/No Infectivity from Asymptomatic Carriers

The infectivity of asymptomatic people could be much smaller than we thought originally

https://www.ijidonline.com/article/S1201-9712(20)30250-2/pdf

And asymptomatic people may not be infectious at all

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7219423/

Pre-symptomatic transmission unlikely https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m3862

And the number of false positives could be the majority of cases but we can’t know because the cycle threshold for the PCR test is not given

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/29/health/coronavirus-testing.html

Over 35 cycles is extreme https://twitter.com/vegsource/status/1322285840291147776

The findings suggest that asymptomatic and presymptomatic persons do represent a source of potentially transmissible virus. 
https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.32.2001483#html_fulltext

Guidelines for PCR testing
https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/331501/WHO-COVID-19-laboratory-2020.5-eng.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y

CEBM Transmission https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.08.04.20167932v4

Asymptomatic transmission Wuhan, Nature https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-19802-w

Faucci asymptomatic transmission
https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1331022835104485378

Asymptomatic transmission https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32790510/

List of studies on asymptomatic transmission https://twitter.com/ClareCraigPath/status/1336707467233865741


4.Specific Age Groups Affected

People under the age of 60 make up less than 2 percent of the total fatalities in Europe (using Italy/Spain numbers)

https://ourworldindata.org/mortality-risk-covid?country=~GBR#case-fatality-rate-of-covid-19-by-age


5.No Evidence for Second Wave & Mortality Rate Falling Rapidly

The virus seems to be mutating leading to some front-line doctors in Spain and the UK saying that they do not expect a second wave of the virus.


This map from the Cleveland Fed shows that mortality rate declines extremely quickly

https://www.clevelandfed.org/en/newsroom-and-events/publications/cfed-district-data-briefs/cfddb-20200408-getting-to-accuracy.aspx

The same front line doctors are also saying the mortality rate of the Coronavirus is even lower than it was at the start of the outbreak, supporting the Cleveland Fed numbers above.



6.Effective Treatment May Already Be Available

The is mounting evidence that Hydroxychloroquine, zinc and Azithromycin can be effective treatment for those people at high risk from COVID19.

https://www.theblaze.com/news/peer-reviewed-hydroxychloroquine-study-hospitalizations

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/newly-published-outpatient-study-finds-that-early-use-of-zinc-hydroxychloroquine-and-azithromycin-is-associated-with-less-hospitalizations-and-death-301094237.html

2005 Study SARS https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1232869/

https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202007.0025/v1

Less effective

Dexamethasone


7.Lockdowns Prolong The Virus

Greece, like many states in the USA that locked down early, seem to have prolonged the virus.

Countries and states which had no lockdowns (Belarus), limited lockdowns (Sweden) or late lockdowns (UK, New York) have almost see the end of deaths due to COVID19 and there appears little reason for future lockdowns.

Countries and states which were early with their lockdowns (Greece and California for example) are seeing deaths return to pre-lockdown levels.

In short it appears COVID19 will run its course at some point regardless of any lockdown.

Research on influenza has shown reduced exposure to sunlight and fresh air can increase the fatality rate of influenza
“The efficacy of open air treatment has been absolutely proven, and one has only to try it to discover its value.”
THE OPEN AIR TREATMENT OF INFLUENZA.Brooks WA
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4504358/


The Greek Government Response

Despite all the new information available since March, the Greek government’s response still does not focus on protecting those at most risk ie the elderly and unwell. Instead the measure target those at least risk, those who are largely unaffected by COVID19 ie young people and healthy people.

Some examples of the apparent backwards nature of the response.

In certain areas businesses are being closed between midnight and 7am. (The significance of the time of day escapes everybody, including rightly aggrieved tourists)

https://www.ekathimerini.com/256099/article/ekathimerini/news/restrictions-imposed-in-karditsa-pella-pieria

Banning gatherings of more than nine people in Northern Greece’s most popular tourism area and one of the Aegean’s most popular islands

https://www.ekathimerini.com/256058/article/ekathimerini/news/coronavirus-measures-for-mykonos-halkidiki-effectivefriday

Business owners whose livelihood depends on the tourist season are rightly upset

https://www.ekathimerini.com/255915/article/ekathimerini/news/bar-owners-on-greek-island-angry-over-virus-restrictions


A Better Solution?

-Given that limiting contact between persons could prolong the life of the virus.

-Given that the longer the virus is circluating the more chance a vulnerable person will become a vicitim.

-Given that the young are almost entirely unaffected by the COVID19

-Given that asymptomatic people are probably must less infectious than the sick and if they are infectious they transmit much lower volumes of the virus

https://www.ijidonline.com/article/S1201-9712(20)30250-2/pdf

-Given that the elderly and those with existing health problems and much more likely to have complications due to COVID

Surely the answer is to follow Sweden’s lead and let the economy return to normal.

Educate people, give them general guidelines (which are excellent) and let them use their own judgement.

Sweden looks like it has put COVID19 behind it, those most at risk from COVID19 are in a much safer place than before.

Greece on the other hand is in the same or similar place as it was at the start of the pandemic, the most vulnerable still face a similar amount of risk.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/greece/

No one wants anyone to contract COVID19 but the fact is people will contract COVID19.

Surely the best strategy is for those who are fit, healthy and are prepared to take the risk of contracting COVID19 to live normally, to accelerate the process of mutation, to accelerate the build up herd immunity, so that those who are vulnerable to COVID19 or those that want to take extra precautions are safer now and in the future so we can all put COVID19 behind us as quickly as possible and get back to normal life.


General COVID19 information sources

YouTube Rand Paul – Children spreading virus https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9GvPMAtwGUQ

Research study. Transmission by children https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7113798/

WHO assessment of asymptomatic transmission inconclusive https://www.who.int/news-room/commentaries/detail/transmission-of-sars-cov-2-implications-for-infection-prevention-precautions

Admission stats NHS UK https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/

Second wave, why its unlikely https://lockdownsceptics.org/addressing-the-cv19-second-wave/

Belgium health profession demand investigation into COVID https://greatgameindia.com/belgium-who-investigation-coronavirus/

T-Cells. Pre-exisiting immune response https://science.sciencemag.org/content/370/6512/89

Rand Paul Fauchi article https://www.andrewbostom.org/2020/09/educating-dr-fauci-on-herd-immunity-and-covid-19-completing-what-rand-paul-began/

Amnesty International report on nursing homes in UK https://www.amnesty.org/download/Documents/EUR4531522020ENGLISH.PDF

Jump off a bridge https://babylonbee.com/news/government-issues-new-directive-telling-everyone-to-jump-off-a-bridge

Heat and relative humidity effect on corona https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-wellness/heat-and-relative-humidity-affect-how-coronavirus-spreads-new-study-finds/823777

Swiss studies on lethality https://swprs.org/studies-on-covid-19-lethality/

Cancer patient backlog https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/supplementary-information/

Oxford epidemiologists https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z3plSbCbkSA

Welsh cases https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-52380643

WHO reinfection data

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NHS flexible capacity

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Hydroxychloroquine correct use https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/yale-prof-hydroxychloroquine-haters-spewing-misleading-and-toxic-disinformation

Our world in data. Comparison countries https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-03-01..latest&country=IND~USA~GBR~CAN~DEU~FRA&region=World&deathsMetric=true&interval=smoothed&perCapita=true&smoothing=7&pickerMetric=total_cases&pickerSort=desc

World Economic Forum https://intelligence.weforum.org/topics/a1G0X000006OLciUAG?tab=publications

SARS-COV2 only affects monkeys? https://drtomcowan.com/only-poisoned-monkey-kidney-cells-grew-the-virus/

Spanish doctor commenting on COVID in Spain https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC4FJFAgnff4J925djSZcTig/videos & http://elmedicotraslaverdad.blogspot.com/

Amazon city with herd immunity? http://www.fvs.am.gov.br/indicadorSalaSituacao_view/69/2

UK Lockdown costs https://www.bbc.com/news/business-52663523

UK Lockdown costs https://voxeu.org/article/uk-lockdown-balancing-costs-against-benefits

USA lockdown deaths state versus state https://www.wsj.com/articles/news-from-the-non-lockdown-states-11592954700

Guardian lockdown costs estimate https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/sep/06/how-much-did-the-covid-19-lockdown-really-cost-the-uk

Fecal matter https://www.cebm.net/study/covid-19-persistent-viral-shedding-of-sars-cov-2-in-faeces/

CEBM Covid https://www.cebm.net/oxford-covid-19-evidence-service/

CEBM mask studies https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/masking-lack-of-evidence-with-politics/

Asymptomatic transmission https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/latest-evidence/transmission

Prof John A Lee https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qgn4B2Iq2cg

PCR accuracy rate https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30453-7/fulltext

Rapid antibody detection test accuracy https://www.elisagenie.com/rapid-covid19-antibody-detection-tests-principles-and-methods

CommonPass https://www.weforum.org/platforms/covid-action-platform/projects/commonpass

World Economic Forum widget https://intelligence.weforum.org/topics/a1G0X000006O6EHUA0?tab=publications&utm_source=57N0ECrQAg7ZPOUXugaGj2Zm9E2p50GR6bWV9jtt&utm_medium=intelligence-widget&utm_campaign=widget.intelligence.weforum.org&utm_content=%2Fembedding-our-covid-19-widget.html

Why lockdowns are a terrible idea https://thecritic.co.uk/10-reasons-why-a-second-lockdown-is-a-terrible-idea/

ONS testing date end of October https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata

PCR accuracy test https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/895843/S0519_Impact_of_false_positives_and_negatives.pdf

Rapid test critique https://lockdownsceptics.org/2020/11/04/latest-news-183/#sue-denim-comes-out

Why Imperial College models are less than ideal https://lockdownsceptics.org/code-review-of-fergusons-model/

COVID forms Greece https://forma.gov.gr/

Influenza vaccine increases risk of respiratory disease https://academic.oup.com/cid/article/54/12/1778/455098

Daily reports for Greece https://eody.gov.gr/

Vaccine effectiveness https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OcVC4kgoJic&feature=youtu.be

Data comparison site https://datagraver.com/corona/#/

Holland stats https://covid-analytics.nl/population.html

Thessaloniki/Serres second lockdown 30th of October (bars tavernas)

Thessaloniki/Serres second lockdown 2nd November, all non essential

Greece national lockdown 6th of November

Roger Hodkinson https://summit.news/2020/11/18/top-pathologist-claims-coronavirus-is-the-greatest-hoax-ever-perpetrated-on-an-unsuspecting-public/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEo3rnU12jw&feature=emb_title

Ending hospitals https://www.weforum.org/platforms/shaping-the-future-of-health-and-healthcare

Mask wearing effectiveness Denmark https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817

1953 Inquiry Communism In America https://books.google.gr/books/download/Journal_of_the_Senate_Legislature_of_the.epub?id=nUxKAQAAMAAJ&hl=en&capid=AFLRE73W9YJqRN0NxwgmA_vQYL9HGaRc5m5UZ4-kXQiF3kNMytNiqsEKpArOumQM8VtIfCfnA-YmPXsI9Oac_0-rn1FdAGXyYQ&continue=https://books.google.gr/books/download/Journal_of_the_Senate_Legislature_of_the.epub%3Fid%3DnUxKAQAAMAAJ%26output%3Depub%26hl%3Den

Nazi Propaganda https://catalog.archives.gov/id/10459968

Woman man handled into van https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7j2Hx4f0dJ0&feature=emb_title

Womans arrest https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kGZLtg8HHBA&feature=share

Influenza concerns about accuracy and cost of tests https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/flu-test-technology-save-money-bed-blocking-nhs-cobas-liat-roche-diagnostics-a8649066.html

UK weekly covid influenza reports https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports

Cancer heart disease spending uk 2012 https://www.stroke.org.uk/sites/default/files/sa-research_spend_in_the_uk_july2016_web.pdf

Lockdowns cost 560,000 lives https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8925425/Lockdown-claim-equivalent-560-000-lives-health-impact-recession-cause.html

Issues with vaccine. PCR measure success, PCR unreliable, possible infertility in women, https://2020news.de/en/dr-wodarg-and-dr-yeadon-request-a-stop-of-all-corona-vaccination-studies-and-call-for-co-signing-the-petition/

PCR tests should be stopped https://cormandrostenreview.com/report/

MHRA regulator funding https://web.archive.org/web/20140604072443/http://www.mhra.gov.uk/SearchHelp/Frequentlyaskedquestions/#l6

MHRA funding from Bill and Melinda Gates https://www.gov.uk/government/news/mhra-awarded-over-980000-for-collaboration-with-the-bill-and-melinda-gates-foundation-and-the-world-health-organisation

PCR versus antibody tests https://www.ox.ac.uk/sites/files/oxford/media_wysiwyg/UK%20evaluation_PHE%20Porton%20Down%20%20University%20of%20Oxford_final.pdf

PCR not a problem https://virologydownunder.com/the-false-positive-pcr-problem-is-not-a-problem/

Vaccine complaint https://2020news.de/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/Wodarg_Yeadon_EMA_Petition_Pfizer_Trial_FINAL_01DEC2020_EN_unsigned_with_Exhibits.pdf

PCR CT Faucci https://twitter.com/jimgris/status/1326518250386063361

Child vaccine comparison https://www.researchgate.net/publication/346088816_Relative_Incidence_of_Office_Visits_and_Cumulative_Rates_of_Billed_Diagnoses_Along_the_Axis_of_Vaccination

Effect of lockdowns https://thefatemperor.com/published-papers-and-data-on-lockdown-weak-efficacy-and-lockdown-huge-harms/

Old folks outbreak Arons https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2008457

Transmission https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.25.20162107v2

Asymptomatic transmission influenza https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2646474/

Vaccines medical intervention third of all deaths USA https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/22/medical-errors-third-leading-cause-of-death-in-america.html

Zinc treatment COVID19 https://www.lewrockwell.com/2020/04/bill-sardi/modern-medicine-knew-of-zinc-cure-for-coronavirus-infections-a-decade-ago-but-failed-to-put-into-practice/

Asymptomatics spread https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03141-3

PCR infectiousness https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa1764/6018217#.X8ke_W2Guwg.twitter

Fruit testing positive https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-tanzania-idUSKBN22G295

Flu shot ingredients https://www.healthline.com/health/cold-flu/flu-shot-ingredients#ingredients

Guardian schools reopening effect https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/18/french-minister-tells-of-risks-of-missing-school-as-more-pupils-return-covid-19

Respiratory admissions Dec19 for Oct 20 https://twitter.com/RealJoelSmalley/status/1337350399498588161

mask effectiveness in surgery https://archive.is/z1Yi8#selection-151.440-151.612

Dodgy Canada post https://usercontent.one/wp/www.moet-wakker.nl/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Is-this-leaked-info-really-Trudeaus-crazy-COVID-plan-for-2021-You-decide-…-The-CANADIAN-REPORT.pdf

Problems with mRNA vaccine https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/french-infectious-disease-expert-shocked-by-the-number-of-adverse-reactions-to-covid-19-vaccine

COVID treatment Azithromycin https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140-6736(20)31863-8/fulltext

COVID mutations https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-19818-2

Hydroxochloroquin HCQ studies https://c19study.com/

Mutations https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-19818-2

PCR CT Thresholds https://thevaccinereaction.org/2020/09/coronavirus-cases-plummet-when-pcr-tests-are-adjusted/

PCR tests, Cts and viral cultures https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa1491/5912603

E Gene PCR CT https://academic.oup.com/cid/article/71/10/2663/5842165

Canada Ontario PCR cycles https://www.publichealthontario.ca/-/media/documents/ncov/main/2020/09/cycle-threshold-values-sars-cov2-pcr.pdf?la=en

Asymptomatic transmission WHO YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=8&v=NQTBlbx1Xjs&feature=emb_title

PCR testing problems https://principia-scientific.com/who-finally-admits-covid19-pcr-test-has-a-problem/

Bloomberg resilience ranking https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-resilience-ranking/

Weekly influenza report https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/weekly-national-flu-reports-2017-to-2018-season

New variant https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wC8ObD2W4Rk&feature=emb_title

Children transmissibilty https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/health-and-families/coronavirus-children-adults-pass-symptoms-kids-transmit-schools-a9494286.html

Bacterial pneumonia Spanish Flu https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/312565#causes

Winter deaths only COVID19 https://twitter.com/RealJoelSmalley/status/1344708960813772801

Astra zeneca vaccine problem shttps://www.wired.com/story/the-astrazeneca-covid-vaccine-data-isnt-up-to-snuff/

Ivermectin alternative treatment COVID19

Nil by mouth carehomes https://www.bitchute.com/video/Yg5PxomZjYzX/

Immune system basics https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5091071/

Hygiene immune system https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/12/health/immune-system-allergies.html

mRNA vaccine problems https://video.wakkeren.nl/videos/watch/9bd9f602-e5e9-47e0-b35d-8f1bfd78f0f4

SARS COV vaccine problem https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22536382/

Dolores Cahill mrna vaccine https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=LNdLEoMAAAAJ&hl=en

RSV vaccine problem children https://www.reuters.com/article/us-rsv-shot-idUSTRE4BM4SH20081223

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